Marlins beat Padres to begin weekend series

Baseball Betting Lines

07/31/2010 - San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Gaby Sanchez and Cody Ross homered to lead the Florida Marlins past the San Diego Padres, 4-2, in the opener of a three- game series.

Hanley Ramirez and Logan Morrison each drove in a run for the Marlins, who have won two in a row and four of six overall.

Chris Volstad (5-8) went five-plus frames in the start, allowing two runs on seven hits. The right-hander won for the first time since June 13 against the Rays. Leo Nunez recorded his 25th save of the season.

Adrian Gonzalez and Chase Headley had an RBI apiece for the Padres, who had won five of six coming in. Miguel Tejada went 0-for-3 with a walk in his San Diego debut. He was acquired Thursday along with cash considerations from the Baltimore Orioles in exchange for minor league right-hander Wynn Pelzer.

Wade LeBlanc (5-9) allowed four runs on five hits in a 6 1/3-inning start.

The Padres drew first blood with a run in the first. Jerry Hairston Jr. singled and stole second with two outs. Tejada walked in front of Headley's base hit. Hairston scored on the play, but Tejada was thrown out between third and home to end the inning.

Florida plated two runs in the third to go ahead. Wes Helms walked and Ronny Paulino singled. The runners advanced a base on a sacrifice bunt. Ramirez then hit a sacrifice fly. Morrison followed with an RBI single for a 2-1 lead.

Ross' solo homer in the fourth gave the Marlins a 3-1 advantage. San Diego stranded men on the corners in the home fourth.

Sanchez made it 4-1 with a solo blast in the top of the sixth. The Padres, though, got the run back in the bottom half on Gonzalez's run-scoring single.

Game Notes

San Diego's five-game win streak over the Marlins came to a halt...The Padres optioned outfielder Aaron Cunningham to Triple-A Portland...Volstad improved to 2-2 lifetime against the Padres...San Diego catcher Yorvit Torrealba went 2-for-3 to extend his hitting streak to 13 games.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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