Grizzlies take road winning streak to Boston

Basketball Betting Lines

03/10/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Memphis Grizzlies will attempt to keep the longest road winning streak in franchise history intact when they visit a place they've historically struggled over the years, Boston's TD Garden, for tonight's matchup with the Atlantic Division-leading Celtics.

Memphis heads to Beantown having prevailed in each of its last six outings as the visitor, with the team's last road loss coming at Minnesota on February 6. That success has kept the surprising Grizzlies in the Western Conference playoff race, where the club currently trails Portland by four games for the eighth and final postseason seed.

The Grizzlies haven't been nearly as successful in their own building as of late, but did manage to halt a string of eight straight defeats at FedExForum with Monday's 107-101 triumph over New Jersey. Rudy Gay and Mike Conley each scored 21 points for Memphis, with Gay coming down with 10 rebounds on the evening.

Marc Gasol also recorded a double-double as the Grizzlies posted their third win in their last four overall games, finishing with 19 points and 13 boards to help offset the absence of Zach Randolph, Memphis' leading scorer and rebounder this season.

Randolph, who's averaging 20.8 points and 11.8 rebounds in 2009-10, sat out the contest with a stiff back but is expected to play this evening.

The Grizzlies could use the services of the talented forward as they try to halt a six-game losing streak in this series. Memphis has not defeated the Celtics since a 98-96 decision at the Garden on December 6, 2006 and has fallen in four of its last five trips to Boston, where the team is 5-8 all- time.

The Celtics had won four in a row prior to last night's narrow loss at resurgent Milwaukee, which rallied late in the fourth quarter to come through with an 86-84 victory.

Boston had taken a 77-72 midway through the final period on a three-point play from Rajon Rondo, but the Bucks answered with a 14-2 run to take a seven-point lead with under three minutes to go.

A Kevin Garnett jump hook with 53.2 seconds left pulled the Celtics within 86-84, and Boston had a final chance to tie or win after Milwaukee's Brandon Jennings missed a three-point shot in the final moments. Paul Pierce's jumper from the right wing would clank off the rim as time expired, however.

"[The Bucks] just made big plays down the stretch and we didn't," Boston coach Doc Rivers said. "I thought all the 50-50 plays in the game was going to be the difference in the game -- loose ball, offensive rebounds. I thought they won that battle."

Rondo ended with 20 points and six assists while Kevin Garnett compiled 14 points and 10 rebounds in the loss. Ray Allen, coming off a 25-point performance in Sunday's 86-83 home win over Washington, was limited to a mere three points on 0-of-3 shooting for the Celtics.

Pierce, Boston's leading scorer at 17.6 points per game, struggled as well. The All-Star forward finished with 12 points, but made just 3-of-13 shots from the field.

Despite Tuesday's loss, the Celtics own a comfortable eight-game lead over Toronto for first place in the Atlantic Division and are 2 1/2 back of Orlando for the Eastern Conference's No. 2 playoff seed.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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